Spreadsheet to calculate accurate profits on past races
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This goes along with the video I posted yesterday about the methods of betting tris my friend used. You can use this sheet for your own purposes on any past tri wagers. It is set for the PB tri pool with a take out of 25%.
Video
Spreadsheet:
for the record, I did laugh at the beginning.
What % of races played did you win? I was trying to go back thru the month
and see how my top 4 would do. I avg around 35-40% wins.Looks like 40% might be the magic number. THat or higher I think.
Here is a video of todays races at PB. hit bunch of races, but low payers mostly.
Still, a profit and nice rebate.Video
http://stme.in/F2xTPD6MbSpreadsheet attached
Video of two more days of stats. Big numbers still. But big bets and scary as hell.
Video
http://stme.in/gtdcXa92qSo good to hear that your mom is greatly improved.
I have not been tracking the figures as deep as you have but what
I have found is this:Since Sunday 8/23, not including 301s & 1st half of twin races—using the
top 4 dogs in my speed column only, I would have had 27 out of 56 races won.
That’s 48% of the races.
On 8/25, I had 75% wins (9/12).Not sure what the ROI or Net would be. Just don’t
have time to do all that right now.I’m going to keep tracking the Win% and see how much it fluctuates.
Keep the stats coming—luv to see them.
I really think 48% would be profitable with many wagers if done correctly. For this particular strategy? That remains to be seen.
Here is my last video of this for a while. I will revisit it with more races to look at later. But the first week looked really good! Wish I have been playing it live.,
Video
Hey Pup- Fascinating stuff. Been out of town past couple weeks, but after “binging” on this video series tonight please count me among those intrigued.
Wondering if you think the players tri approach would work by going five dogs deep, instead of 4? Would the higher hit rate, and corresponding lower net winnings, perhaps serve to smooth out the volatility curve that we’re seeing here?
I have a method that hits the top 4 dogs in quiniela about 36%, nothing special. But same method going 5 dogs deep hits 72% (decent sample of couple hundred races). I’m prepared to test it out on paper by trying to apply his dutch approach to my 5-dog deep strategy. Just curious your thoughts before I proceed with this.
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