Activity Streams
-
Pup replied to the topic Spreadsheet to calculate accurate profits on past races in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
Looks like 40% might be the magic number. THat or higher I think.
Here is a video of todays races at PB. hit bunch of races, but low payers mostly.
Still, a profit and nice rebate.Video
Soon…Spreadsheet attached
-
iiicream replied to the topic Spreadsheet to calculate accurate profits on past races in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
for the record, I did laugh at the beginning.
What % of races played did you win? I was trying to go back thru the month
and see how my top 4 would do. I avg around 35-40% wins. -
Maxprofits replied to the topic 4 Easy Things You Should Be Doing in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
Very good video back to the basics. I remember when I was a kid and my father keeping records and when I started I just did the same because that’s how I thought the game was played. Keep records and big stacks of old programs for research. I still have many of my old programs by the way. Thank god for Pcs, QD and Excel. It is still amazing to…[Read more]
-
iiicream replied to the topic The Holy Grail Search Update 2 in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
Max, I think it was an all-time record. Didn’t even have time to
get something to eat. -
Maxprofits replied to the topic The Holy Grail Search Update 2 in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
That was a fast video.
-
ramos8837@comcast.net replied to the topic The Holy Grail Search Update in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
Another question that comes to mind is if the top pick is an odds on favorite like pup power key the bet structure should probably be different since it would pay less right?
-
iiicream replied to the topic The Holy Grail Search Update in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
Interesting video.
Question: Why are you leaving out just 1 dog? From what I
could see you could have left off the bottom 2 dogs and done
just as well. -
iiicream replied to the topic Gap / 8th / Class For keys in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
Good video. I’m not using columns exactly like that. I’m using an “EighthCls” column which takes
the dog’s Class added to the Last Eighth and sort. One of the top 3 dogs in the winner in about 45%
of the races. If there is a 2-way tie for the 3rd spot I go to speed and/or 1/8 call. If there
is a more than 2-way tie I pass the race. I usually…[Read more] -
iiicream replied to the topic Thinning the field (Jacks Method) in the forum Video 9 years, 3 months ago
510 races @ PB, top 3 produced:
231 Wins 45%
76 Qs 15%
16 Tri 3% -
iiicream replied to the topic Thinning the field (Jacks Method) in the forum Video 9 years, 4 months ago
Here’s an update on TS:
Using top 3 (as above):
Winner found 45%
Q found 15%
Tri found 4% (2 of them straight)Found it very interesting (Arte Johnson impersonation)—Will try to make time & do PB tomorrow.
-
iiicream replied to the topic Thinning the field (Jacks Method) in the forum Video 9 years, 4 months ago
Looking at the last 10 days @ TS using the above method, the lowest # of wins I found was 4, highest was 10 (out of 16 races).
In no particular order the results were (all out of 16 races):
5
10
6
4
9
9
6
6
8
9That’s between 25% – 63% winners on a card.
I did notice that some of those winners paid double-digit (and more). Casually I did…[Read more]
-
Pup replied to the topic Thinning the field (Jacks Method) in the forum Video 9 years, 4 months ago
Thanks for the input max and iiicream. I had a few days in a hospital room last week so I ran a lot of races and different tracks. As with anything else your mileage will vary by track. But what you would expect holds true, tracks where early is more important show a greater result and vise versa. The .21 gap also holds about a 60% to 70% gap at…[Read more]
-
iiicream replied to the topic iiiCream, Top 14 in the world in the forum Everything else 9 years, 4 months ago
Thanks. I have found the key to this is to play every contest no matter how well you do. I’m still trying to crack the top 10.
-
iiicream started the topic New PB Track Record in the forum Everything else 9 years, 4 months ago
Friday afternoon (7/24) @ PB there was a new track record set in the 545 course. Race # 13, the 8 dog, Speeding Bullet ran a 28.92 time. Absolutely an amazing do. Watch the replay if you can. This was a class C race so keep your eyes on him as he climbs the ladder.
-
iiicream replied to the topic Thinning the field (Jacks Method) in the forum Video 9 years, 4 months ago
thanks for your work, Max. Let us know how it turns out.
-
Maxprofits replied to the topic Thinning the field (Jacks Method) in the forum Video 9 years, 4 months ago
I ran a few races at BM was about 60% I am going to check out more, about 200 should do.
Thanks for the video -
iiicream replied to the topic Thinning the field (Jacks Method) in the forum Video 9 years, 4 months ago
I easily built 2 columns for QD that helps look at the data. One column was LastEighth, just the last 1/8 call for the dog. The other column was LastGrade, the last grade the dog was in based on a 1-6 scale. A=1, B=2, etc. I also added Last3Speed column, average of the last 3 races & a Closing column, improvement of the dog from stretch to…[Read more]
-
modelt1946@yahoo.com posted an update 9 years, 4 months ago
what place can I get a 5% premium?
-
Pup replied to the topic I'm an Idiot or maybe not in the forum Everything else 9 years, 4 months ago
Over the years I’d say I’ve probably broke even if you average them all out. But there is no greater feeling than winning a bet you thought was completely lost!
Enjoy the favor of the greyhound gods smiling down upon you my friend!
-
ramos8837@comcast.net replied to the topic I'm an Idiot or maybe not in the forum Everything else 9 years, 4 months ago
That has happened to me quite a few times, sometimes to my benefit other times against me. I guess if you play long enough you make a lot of mistakes. You just hope that the ones that go your way make up for the other ones.
- Load More
Just roughing the numbers it looks like you need 40% or better for this to be profitable. I’m still running simulations and crunching numbers. Posting new video and updated sheet today