Activity
-
almeatprairiefl@msn.com started the topic average box break in the forum Handicapping 9 years, 8 months ago
evening guys, this goes along with Pups new method using the break as a factor. been tracking PB
using the av calc, since last sun there have been 75 races run over the 545 course. i did not include
the fri or sat night performances. so this is avg break, PB 545 with the sun up.
1 3.4
2 4.3
3 4.2
4 4.3
5 4.5
6 5.1
7 5.3
8 4.7one box is tops. very small sample. if we look at how many times a box broke first or second as a %
it looks like this
1 44%
2 25%
3 32%
4 21%
5 28%
6 16%
7 17%
8 16%the 1 2 3 & 5 clearly ahead of the pack here. any thoughts on this? is this enough of an advantage to
create a box bias adj?
keep winning
Thats an very interesting concept you are studying there but I’m not sure I can add much to it as I’ve never looked into it at all. It doesn’t seem like the box break os following the box win% at all which is interesting. But then again you only have a couple weeks of data which I should warn you, for most things thats not much to go on at all. Like I’ve said before in other videos and posts I learned to never even consider something until I hit 500 races. And thats just the point to make me thing I might be on to something. 1000 races and I start feeling good about it.