average box break

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  • #513

    evening guys, this goes along with Pups new method using the break as a factor. been tracking PB

    using the av calc, since last sun there have been 75 races run over the 545 course. i did not include

    the fri or sat night performances. so this is avg break, PB 545 with the sun up.

    1 3.4
    2 4.3
    3 4.2
    4 4.3
    5 4.5
    6 5.1
    7 5.3
    8 4.7

    one box is tops. very small sample. if we look at how many times a box broke first or second as a %

    it looks like this
    1 44%
    2 25%
    3 32%
    4 21%
    5 28%
    6 16%
    7 17%
    8 16%

    the 1 2 3 & 5 clearly ahead of the pack here. any thoughts on this? is this enough of an advantage to

    create a box bias adj?

    keep winning

    #523

    morning guys, update on the whole avg box brk at PB thing. the new starting box debuted on 3/18,so i picked up those days

    and started there. remember afternoon races only and only the 545 course. i’m just going to attach the sheet and let you

    guys go over all the #s. some interesting stuff, mostly just expectation. don’t know if there is anything here or not.

    win

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